by Bobby Mac
“WHAT on earth are you talking about? Mosley’s fighting Floyd Mayweather this coming Saturday. It’s gonna be HUGE!”
True dat, true enough, but…………Mosley won’t be defending his belt against Mayweather unless there is a sea change in the WBA official position. All supposedly due to sanctioning fees, non-payments of same, and prickly egos. So, if Mosley wins, he retains his title, but if he loses, the title I guess would go into the nomenclature of WBA speak, “Recess,” until an eliminator can be fought to reclaim it.
The WBC has sent out feelers of the possibility of this fight being for the WBC’s freshly minted “Diamond Belt” that they awarded Pacquiao for his victory over Cotto, but nothing firm about that as of the date of this article. One supposes that Pacquiao would hold the WBC Super Diamond Belt with Mayweather holding the WBC Regular Diamond Belt, but I’ve learned there is no predicting the complex tiered system of championships each organization has in place for each division.
I mention these things in advance of the actual preview of the fight, because this is an extremely complex affair as any Mayweather fight has evolved into over time. Two fights were cancelled just to cobble this fight together after one lawsuit filed against the promoter of this fight and both the fighters of this fight. That would be the defamation lawsuit filed by Manny Pacquiao.
More insidious complexities caused the cancellation of The Biggest Fight of the Year, the Pacquiao/Mayweather bout scheduled for last March. It would be a stretch to think all these complexities won’t play out in the ring come fight night, but hold that thought for a moment so we can look at the fighters’ acumen and talent.
Age: Mosley is 38, and Mayweather is 33. Result is an edge for Mayweather.
Size/Strength: Both are near the same stature with Mosley slightly bigger and a weightlifting background. Result is a slight edge for Mosley.
Speed/Reflexes: Both have good hand and foot speed, but Mayweather is the younger man. Result is slight edge to Mayweather.
Power: Mosley was a noted KO artist at lightweight as Mayweather was at superfeather. Result is an edge for Mosley.
Stamina: Both are traditionally in superior condition, and no change in recent training reports. Results are a draw.
Skills: Both with considerable offensive skills, but Mayweather noted as a defensive artist as well. Result is an edge for Mayweather.
Experience and competition: Both well experienced against excellent oppostion, but Mosley has had more and tougher fights, perhaps too experienced at this point, but he is way more experienced at the weight. Result is a slight edge to Mosley.
Ring Generalship: Mayweather the undefeated fighter and Mosley with 5 losses. Result is edge for Mayweather.
Corner: Mayweather listens to his own muse and his Uncle Roger cannot come close to matching the overall credentials and professionalism of Nazim Richardson who has arrived at this point in time with a considerable legacy still in ascendency: Result is an edge for Mosley.
Intangibles: Hard to know what motivates two HOF quality fighters late in their careers, but there is genuine animosity between them with the history of Mayweather wanting this fight many years ago, and then moving on to which Mosley then ran the gauntlet of desire. So they have arrived to this point in a simmering contrivance of convenience. Result is a draw.
Ring Rust: Both have it, but both are gym rats who never get out of shape. Result is a draw.
Outside distractions: Both are being sued by Pacquiao for defamation. Mosley is coming off a divorce with reduced finances and Mayweather’s tax woes are no secret. Mosley otherwise enjoys a relaxed southern California lifestyle, whereas Mayweather moved operations to Las Vegas where the Mayweather family continues to run afoul of the law that seems to be their preferred lifestyle. Results are a draw.
Just sewing up the preview by the numbers with draw=0, slight edge=1, edge=2: Tally is Mayweather 7 to Mosley’s 6 pts. Result is a slight edge to Mayweather.
OK, you done good holding all those complexities of this fight in check that are just bursting to come tumbling out.
I agree with the result being a slight edge to Mayweather, but given the complexities which included money, legal issues, heated tensions, drugs. boxing politics, I’m not sure if there can really be said to be a true edge to this fight that would swing my betting if I were a betting man.
So, me not being a seer, I make no claims to divine the winner, but the complexities will make a close fight closer, even really. Mayweather may still be in the driver’s seat as the higher ranked fighter of recent record, but I’m predicting a tough, ugly, hotly contested and controversial fight with officiating disputes before, during, and after the fight. The best fight of the night may come from Uncle Roger.
Let’s just say this fight is a new and different breed of classic.
1. So, it’s Mayweather for me, and the rest of the writers to follow with their own predictions.